Check out ElevenLabs.

That might largely be a rephrasing of the same problem.

The main probably with scientific publishing is that our threshold for statistical significance is way too low.

If we allow the threshold to sit at a 1 percent chance that results of the study were random chance, it means that 1 percent of all publications at that level of certainly are going o mislead the public if the media reports on them. And with the volume of research published every day, that adds up to a LOT of misinformation.

It’s not even bad science, it’s bad reporting and widespread scientific illiteracy. But neither of those are going away.

Oh, it was nothing more than just showing off the technology, really. It wasn’t a committed bit.

I cloned my voice then left a voicemail that said something like: “hey buddy it’s me. My car broke down and I’m at… Actually I don’t know where I’m at. I walked to the gas station and borrowed this guy’s phone. He said he’ll give me a ride into to town if I can get him $50 bucks. Could you venmo it to him at @franks_diner? I’ll get you back as soon as I can find my phone. … By the way this is really me, definitely not a bot pretending to be me.”

This is nothing to get excited about. Like so many other things there will be constant innovations on both sides. It’s an arms race between the scammers and the scam detectors.

I cloned my own voice to prank a friend, and… Wow, it was a gut-dropping moment when I understood just how dangerous this tool is for precisely this type of scam.

It’s one thing to hear about it, but to actual experience it… Terrifying.

I use YouTube for tutorials, education, and entertainment all the time. And YouTube music is how I listen to all my music.

I’ve been paying for the YouTube premium version for my family since day one.

Recently they took away my grandfathered-in pricing. It really costs me a ton of money.

But I remember that I’m keeping ads off my screens, my parents’ screens, and my kids screens… And we all use YouTube music all the time… So…

Yeah, a lot of money, but honestly, probably the best subscription I have.

I could never go back to ads.

This is a bit like companies blocking Google from their websites.

You’re only hurting yourself.

Yup. This is why it is vital that we all get behind Universal Basic Income.

The jobs will leave and they won’t come back. UBI is inevitable, but if we don’t get there soon enough there will be years of suffering and poverty for hundreds of millions.

You’re wandering into one of the great questions of our age: what is intelligence? I don’t have a great answer. All I know is that gpt-4 can REASON, and does so better than the average human.

It’s gpt-4 self-aware? Yes. To an extent. It knows what it is, and can use that information in its reasoning. It knows it’s an LLM, but not which model.

Can it make judgement calls? Yes. Better than the average human.

Understand meaning? Absolutely. To a jaw-dropping extent.

Accuracy and correctness… Depends on the type of question.

What you need to understand is that gpt-4 isn’t a whole brain. Think of it as if we have managed to reproduce the language center of the brain. I believe this is mechanism for higher reasoning in the human brain.

But just as in humans with right-brain injuries, the language center is disconnected from reality at times.

So, when you think about gpt-4 as the most important, difficult to solve part of the brain, you start to understand that with some minimal supporting infrastructure, you now have something very similar to a complete brain.

You can use vector databases to give it long-term memory, and any kind of data retrieval used to augment it’s prompts improved accuracy and reduces hallucinations almost entirely.

With my very mediocre programming skills, I managed to build a system that is curious, has a long-term memory, and do a wide variety of tasks, enough to easily replace an entire customer service, tech support team, sales team, and marketing team.

That’s just ME, and working with the gpt-4 that’s available to the public with a bunch of guardrails on it. Today.

Imagine a less-restricted system, with infrastructure built by an experienced enterprise coding team, and with just one more generation of LLM improvement? That could wipe out half the white collar workforce.

If LLM improvement was only geometric, and not even exponential (as it clearly is), in 10 years these things will be smarter AND MORE CREATIVE than all humans.

The truth is that we’re going to be there in 5 years.

As I said, if you’re not scared shitless, you really don’t understand what gpt-4 can do.

It’s not “just another tool.”

It’s an intelligence.

This technology is more world-changing than computers, the Internet, or mobile technology. And it’s evolving faster than any of those things did.

You’ll see. Unfortunately.

I feel sorry for these folks. They have no idea what’s about to happen.

This is just the smallest tip of the iceberg.

I’ve been working with gpt-4 since the week it came out, and I guarantee you that even if it never became any more advanced, it could already put at least 30% of the white collar workforce out of business.

The only reason it hasn’t is because companies have barely started to comprehend what it can do.

Within 5 years the entire world will have been revolutionized by this technology. Jobs will evaporate faster than anyone is talking about.

If you’re very smart, and you begin to use gpt-4 to write the tools that will replace you, then you MIGHT have 10 good years left in this economy before humans are all but obsolete.

If you’re not staying up nights, scared shitless by what’s coming, it’s because you don’t really understand what gpt-4 can do.

The LG V20 was the last great flagship phone that had a removable battery. I miss those.

GPT-4 absolutely is on the spectrum of true artificial general intelligence.

We have arrived.

I understand why you think that, but what you have to remember is that every great piece of art you’ve ever seen has been derivative of something before it.

For example, I think of the Beatles as musical geniuses. But they are the first to admit that they stole other people’s ideas left and right.

Beethoven’s 9th symphony is this piece of transcendental music, that was widely considered at the time to be the greatest symphony ever written.

But if you listen to Beethoven’s works over time, you see that the seeds of that symphony were planted much much earlier in inferior works.

Genius and creation aren’t what we think they are. They are all just incremental steps.

What you’re describing is a life of luxury and recreation, but with no chance to advance any field, or to make a difference of any kind.

Essentially this is the dystopia described in Brave New World

Right. But you’re talking about recreation. I’m talking about a world where there is absolutely no field or activity that you can participate in that will ever make any kind of advancement or notable achievement.

Think about your favorite comedian. Now imagine that there’s countless AI systems out there that can make jokes in that style but funnier… Way better than that comedians best material ever.

Would you want to dedicate your life to that career, knowing that the general public will never ever care, because even if you become a master of the craft, there’s an ocean of stuff way better than anything you could ever do at everyone’s fingertips.

That’s all well and good, but I’m talking about a world where you have ZERO chance at being the best at anything, or even being able to make any meaningful contribution to the field.

I’ve read a bunch of his stuff. I’m a fan.