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Joined 6 months ago
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Cake day: December 26th, 2023

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  • I’m pretty much on board, though how much anyone can agree is a matter of relativity.

    We know about the closest stars and the planets within them, and based off spectrometry, we’re confident the planets “close” to us haven’t had life, though they might be capable.

    The chances of there being no mass extinction events in the millions of years following abiogenesis is arguably smaller than surviving the five or so we’ve had. Given everything we know about astrophysics, we owe the asteroids a few clean hits, we have been astronomically lucky, and that’s not even taking into consideration every other cause of mass extinction.

    15 billion years is still considered early in the grand scheme of things, it’s likely that we are the early ones. A billion years head start is plausible, sure, but it’s certainly less plausible than our existence.

    All of this is to say that life is rare enough without them being a stones throw away.

    And this is all disregarding any possible intent behind a visit. Any being capable of space travel does not need our resources.

    Unless they’re sex tourists, which would explain all the anal probing.

    On second thought, I choose to believe.


  • Zozano@lemy.loltoAsklemmy@lemmy.mlDo you believe in Aliens?
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    3 months ago

    The chances of extra terrestrial life to have visited earth is very, very small.

    The chances of life to occur are small enough,

    The chances of evolution to pass through multiple extinction events and producing a being capable of higher intelligence is even smaller,

    The chances they have done this faster than humans is smaller still,

    The chances they have evolved close enough to us to have visited is near impossible.

    The universe is huge, there’s almost certainly life elsewhere - but to ask whether they visited earth is like speculating on whether ghosts exist.

    Also the universe is expanding at such a fast rate that unless we develop faster-than-light tech, we will never reach another solar system.




  • Two things:

    1. It sounds like you are blaming yourself, which is hard not to do when everything seems futile - but how you frame things is part of CBT.

    You are responsible for the choices you make, but there’s a difference between learning, and beating yourself up.

    Once you understand the underlying causes for your decisions, you become a different person, and it becomes harder to associate those old thoughts to who you are now.

    1. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Be cautious of anyone who will accept the task.

    I used to think my parents had shit figured out, then I realised how dumb they were.

    Then I thought I had shit figured out, then I realised how dumb I was.

    Then I thought I found my own guru who had shit figured out, but then I realised how dumb they were.

    If you get lucky and find someone who provides valuable insights, understand this is gambling - eventually they will give bad advice.



  • Zozano@lemy.loltolinuxmemes@lemmy.worldBackdoors
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    3 months ago

    For the uninitiated, this is a representation of the Survivorship Bias.

    Essentially, the red dots represent bullet holes from aircraft which returned from battle.

    If you were to ask someone which places should be reinforced with armour, someone who has the Survivorship Bias would say “where the red dots are”, whereas people who know anything about engineering would say “everywhere else!”

    It’s like saying: “why are you wearing a helmet? I’ve met hundreds of soldiers and none of them have ever been shot in the head, helmets are a waste of good armour.”

    A true fact: Did you know wearing a helmet increases your chances of dying of cancer.



  • Most people in this thread don’t get it.

    You know how some people compete to see who can get Doom to run on the craziest platforms, like a calculator?

    Installing Arch with the fewest packages is like that. There’s something oddly satisfying about stripping everything back to the most basic level - to make things work for you within the most constrictive environment you enforce for yourself.

    It’s like eating a spicy shellfish dinner and super gluing your asshole closed.