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Cake day: June 7th, 2023

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  • It’s a lot of things. Graft is rampant, especially in the upper levels of Russian government. Almost half of government spending goes to graft. That means that a lot of things don’t get done, or are done to lower standards. There has been massive flooding from failed infrastructure with tens of thousands of homes destroyed, and the government response has been almost non-existent.

    Russia can’t control their airspace so pretty much every day Ukrainian drones destroy another oil refinery. These make great targets because they supply a lot of the boom themselves and because Russia needs western tech to rebuild them. So far it’s down 14% of capacity, and Russia doesn’t seem to have a solution.

    Morale among Russian troops is non-existent with many incidents of soldiers “fragging” superiors, and “barrier” troops ordered to fire on retreating storm troops. Men are being sent in with ridiculously bad equipment just to soak up bullets. US estimates are that Russia’s losses are around 90% of the original invading force. Much of Russia’s military is back filled with inexperienced conscripts. There are reports of pilots sabotaging their own planes to keep from flying suicide missions, and of course the whole Wagner fiasco.

    There is a lot more that could be said, but I don’t want to write a book here.



  • When did I say the US gives a rats ass about the Palestinians? Check your assumptions maybe? Palestinians have no strategic relevance to the US one way or the other. It is, however, inconvenient to be connected to a genocide. The conflict is also fucking up US plans to leave the Middle East to Israel and Saudi Arabia so it can focus on Africa. It really doesn’t want Israel’s actions bringing the rest of the region into the conflict.

    BTW: Not that I would expect you to check, but I literally said exactly the same phrase about the US not giving a rats ass about Palestine.

    There are three regional powers in the Middle East. The US has Israel and Saudi Arabia. Russia has Iran. You don’t think Russia would want to become dominant? You don’t think China has interests in the Middle East?

    If you can’t see that Russia is no longer a top tier power, that explains a great deal.


  • That’s how foreign policy works. When Biden has that “maybe” in hand it gives him more leverage over Netanyaho. As long as he avoids the most populated areas, it might not change to “definitely”. If it goes that way, US law says that weapon shipments end.

    This is something that should have been done ages ago, but it is the right move. Cut off all support and Israel buddies up with China, India, or possibly even Russia. (The latter is becoming unlikely as Russia begins to unravel). Cut off some token support and use the rest for leverage and it works a lot better.

    Biden did try this earlier with delays in small arms shipments, but that was way too subtle.




  • I’m almost certain that Harris was the establishment’s first choice in 2020, but the only time she generated any support at all was when she went after Biden for racist bussing policy. They couldn’t throw it to her, so they picked Biden and gave her the VP spot. I honestly doubt Biden has a whole lot of say in the matter. It was probably part of the deal when they had the rest of the establishment candidates abruptly drop out and endorse Biden. I don’t think the establishment has given up on Harris yet.


  • LOL, like Congress isn’t complicit. The Republicans are fully behind Israel starting WW3 to bring Jesus back, and Democrats are split, but will never impeach Biden over it.

    I have no idea what to do about Biden, but an impeachment over this is a fantasy. The 2020 primary was our shot, and we blew it. The Biden presidency will be what it will be, but we can’t let Democratic voters forget their failure. Neoliberalism will end, or it will end us. It might already have done so, but time will tell.


  • For all the carnage that’s happened and all the carnage that’s about to happen, we need to (rhetorically) beat the neoliberals over the head for the 2020 primary. I don’t know if Bernie could have stopped any of this, but at least our hands would be clean. Fuck the notion that neoliberals are somehow “good enough”. They throw us a bone from time to time, but ultimately the only thing they are capable of generating in the long term is absolute disaster.